MLB Pre-Season Preview and Power Rankings 15-11 (Dark Horse Teams)

15.Baltimore Orioles

Preview- The Orioles have made the playoffs in two of the last three years, but have fallen in the division round both times. Their lineup has been the reason they have had success. They have finished in the top 10 in runs scored the last two years. That has a lot to do with the emergence of Adam Jones, who in the last three years, has been a top 10 outfielder, showing 30+ homerun power with a BA around .290. Besides Jones, the O’s have 1B Chris Davis, C Matt Wieters, 3B Manny Machado, SS JJ Hardy, OF Alenjandro De Aza, and DH Steve Pearce. They lost OF Nelson Cruz in the off season, but it is reasonable to expect a bounce back year from Chris Davis, which would make up for the loss of Cruz. Machado has had his own issues the last couple of years, but is young, and very talented. If he could get his head together, he could still become a top 3B in the league. After that, both Pearce and De Aza really had nice seasons for the O’s last year, with De Aza coming over at the trade deadline and putting together a great second half.

The concern for this team is going to be pitching. They don’t have a bad pitching rotation, in fact, they finished top 10 in team ERA last year. The issue is the lack of an ace. When they get to the playoffs, they don’t have that go to guy to match up against the other team, and it has cost them. Chris Tillman, Wei-Yen Chen, Bud Norris, and Miguel Gonzalez are all decent pitchers, but if they are matched up against an ace like David Price, Felix Hernandez, Chris Sale, or Corey Kluber in the post season, whom are you going to take to pitch better? The O’s are a talented team, and should once again push for a playoff spot, but if they want to win, they need an ace.

Player to Watch- SP Kevin Gausman – Luckily, they may have that ace. Kevin Gausman was very good for them in his 20 starts last year, and has the potential to be even better. He could be the true, top of the rotation pitcher, they need to win a playoff series.

  1. San Diego Padres

Preview- The Padres surprised everyone this season by wheeling and dealing to bring in a lot of talent to their team. They made a deal with the Dodgers to bring in OF Matt kemp. Switched a couple prospects to the Braves to acquire OF Justin Upton. They got OF Wil Myers back from the Rays in a three team 11 player deal, and signed James Shields in free agency. All of the moves are upgrades on paper, but there is definitely concern of whether these players will fit in with the Padres. Wil Myers struggled to hit last year in Tropicana Field last year. The Trop is deep to center, but still ranks around the middle of ball parks as far as the home run factor. Now he moves to probably the toughest ball park to hit home runs in, PETCO Park. It’s the same issue with Justin Upton, though the move from Turner Field to PETCO isn’t quite as big of a difference. Matt Kemp is in the same boat as Upton, as his former ballpark, Dodger Stadium, was already a tough hitter’s park, but the concern for him is always health. Other hitters on this team include 2B Jedd Gyorko and C Derick Norris. The lineup has talent, but it will be tough for a team of power hitters like they have to find success in this ballpark, and they may have been better off going after hitters who can play small ball

James Shields on the other hand, should have no trouble fitting in. In a ballpark where even a mediocre pitcher can look good, a pitcher like Shields should have no trouble getting outs. The rest of their rotation isn’t bad either. Ian Kennedy, Andrew Cashner, and Tyson Ross are all good pitchers, with the wildcard being Brandon Morrow. The Padres should at least push for a playoff spot, but despite the additions, they still have some concerns.

Player to Watch- OF Wil Myers- The former rookie of the year has yet to find his power stroke, and PETCO won’t help that. He has the raw power to hit here though, he just needs to tap into it.

  1. Chicago Cubs

Preview- The Cubs may have the youngest lineup with the most potential in baseball. With hitters like 3B Kris Bryant, OF Jorge Soler, 2B Javier Baez, SS Starlin Castro, 1B Anthony Rizzo, and eventually SS Addison Russell, if they can find the space for him. The future is very bright for the Cubs.  They also have a handful of talented veterans in OF Chris Coghlan, OF Dexter Fowler, and C Miguel Montero. Even after the group of prospects above, their farm system is still very good, with several other prospects having a chance to be good players in the MLB when they ae promoted.

Their pitching is also good, though could use some improvement. They signed Jon Lester in the offseason, which gives them an elite pitcher at the top of their rotation. After that, they have a handful of successful, though underwhelming, pitchers in Jake Arietta, Jason Hammel, and Kyle Hendricks. Three pitchers who are good, especially for middle of the rotation pitchers, but are not going to overpower opposing hitters. Their fifth pitcher though is Travis Wood, who had an ERA over 5 last year. That is the one place on this team they can stand to upgrade. With a stocked farm system, it wouldn’t surprise me if the Cubs traded for a starting pitcher at mid-season, Maybe Cole Hamels. If not, they may wait until the offseason, and go after a free agent like Jordan Zimmerman. They also secretly have a very good bullpen. As a unit, the bullpen’s ERA was 3.61, good for 15th in the majors. The strength of the bullpen is the back end though, where Pedro Strop, Hector Rondon, and Neil Ramirez all had an ERA under 2.5. Remember, the Royals got to the World Series with a lot of help from their talented, young, bullpen.

Player to Watch- Everyone- Seriously, pick a name and they are a candidate for a breakout year. Theo Epstein has turned this team around, and Cubs fans should be very excited. It might not be this year, but with a little luck, it wouldn’t be a surprise if they made a push this year.

  1. Miami Marlins

Preview– The Marlins made a lot of moves in the off season, but I am not as high on them as some other people are. Are they a good team? Yes, they are, but not World Series contenders like some analysts like to predict. A lot of their off season acquisitions are being over rated by the media. Dee Gordon might be fast, but he has a terrible approach for a leadoff hitter. Someone with his speed should be getting better than a .320 OBP, and should be making more contact, not striking out over 100 times. He will help, but his talents are being exaggerated after a fluky first half where he hit over .300. SP Mat Latos also came to Miami, and while he is talented, he has had an abundance of health concerns the last year and a half, and it has affected his ability. After missing about two months last year, he came back with his velocity down over 2 mph, and his strikeout rate fell from 8.4 in the prior years to just 6.5. While you could say that was just him being rusty and shaking off the injury, his injury issues carried into the offseason as well. While he should be a good pitcher still, there is no reason to think he will magically get better and be an ace again. People also talk about the acquisition of SP Dan Haren as if it is something special, but his ERA over the past three seasons is around 4.3, so he isn’t much more than a fifth starter.

So why do I have them at 12 if I don’t like their off season? Because the rest of their team was already good. OF Giancarlo Stanton has more power than anyone in the majors. He can hit over 40 homeruns even playing in a spacious ball park. They also have OF Christian Yelich, who is a star in the making. Jose Fernandez is an ace, but he will miss some time recovering from Tommy Johns still. Henderson Alvarez is a decent pitcher as well, though he isn’t the type to overpower hitters. Their time may come, but let’s not jump the gun on this team.

Player to Watch- OF Marcell Ozuna- Has shown the power, but not the consistency. With a deeper lineup, he should get a chance to break out this year, and really show his talent.

  1. Chicago White Sox

Preview- While everyone is talking about the Marlins and Cubs as the dark horse team this year, people are overlooking the team on the South side of Chicago. Maybe the Cubs have a brighter future than the Sox, but the White Sox are more ready to win right now.

Starting with the reigning Rookie of the Year, Jose Abreu is potentially the best first basemen in baseball right now, and seems to be improving. Scouts once thought he would merely be a power hitter, he proved to be a good, overall hitter, showing both power and the ability to hit for average. They also have Alexei Ramirez, who is one of the best hitting shortstops in the league. They have OF Melky Cabrera, who continues to be a talented all around hitter even though he has been on five different teams in the past six years. They added Adam LaRoche as well, who should be able to put together a very good year in the hitter friendly confines of US Cellular Field. Their pitching is good as well. Chris Sale is a top 10 pitcher in the league, and while there was some injury concerns coming into spring training, he seems to be in mid-season form. The addition of Jeff Samardzija gives them a second ace at the top of their rotation. After them, they have another solid pitcher in Jose Quintana, who posted a 3.32 ERA, with over 170 K’s. The back end of their rotation leaves something to be desired though. John Danks and Hector Noesi both posted ERA’s over 4.5 last year. Noesi still has a chance to improve as a pitcher, but what they got last year from Danks will probably be what they get this year. Their bullpen is good though, with only one of their bullpen arms posting an ERA over 3 last year. The addition of David Robertson as closer will be a huge boost. They are the dark horse team that no one is talking about.

Player to Watch- OF Adam Eaton- We know how good Abreu is, but another up and coming player on the Sox, is Eaton. He can be a great leadoff hitter if he can stay healthy, that’s a big if though. He has missed a lot of time in his short career.

What MLB Teams Would Look Like If Players Stayed Home (NL East)

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Philadelphia Phillies

phillies depth chart

 

The Phillies would have possibly the best top of the lineup in the league with Trout, Goldy, and Frazier on board. After that though, their team is pretty weak. Whether it is the middle infield with players no one would even recognize, or the outfield full of disappointing players like Blanks and Heisy. Not to mention the fact they would need a minor leaguer to step up to be their number one pitcher. Biddle, who is actually in the Phillies system, has showed potential, but isn’t quite ready to take the mound as an ace. If Biddle works out, the Phillies could be a pretty good team. if he doesn’t work out, well at least they would be able to enjoy the careers of two potential future hall of famers in Goldy and Trout.

 

 

Atlanta Braves

Braves depth chart

 

The South East is a place where many baseball players grow up, and the Braves benefit by being one of the only south east teams not in Florida, so they get the best players from multiple states. It clearly worked out for them as they would have a scary good team. Wainwright is one of the best pitchers in the league, and is currently in a neck and neck competition for the NL Cy Young. Besides him, they have the best young catcher in the league, one of the best young third basemen, and a strong middle infield with two guys enjoying breakout years. Their outfield is a little old, but still talented. They would be one of the best teams in the league.

 

 

 

New York Mets

Mets depth chart

 

 

 

The Mets have always lived in the Yankees shadow, but in this league they would both be on even playing field. Like the yankees, the Mets would struggle to put up runs. The Yankees lineup probably gets a slight edge, but not by much. The best player in the lineup would probably be Markakis, who has always been an underwhelming player. He isn’t bad, but just doesn’t stand out as a star.Besides him they also have the much maligned Pierzynski, who always seems to leave behind enemies every where he goes. He can still contribute with the bat at least though. The stregth pf this team would definitely be Hector Santiago, who is a very promising young pitcher.They would still probably end up competing with the Phillies for fourth place every year though.

 

 

Miami Marlins

marlins depth chart

 

They may not be as strong as the Rays are, but the Marlins would still be a great team. Florida is one of the best place for baseball, with sunshine year round, meaning they get to play year round. Grienke is the best player on this team, as he is one of the best pitchers in the league. He had been an underachiever for a few years, but has finally established himself in LA, so maybe he just needed the warm weather to be good.  Besides him, the lineup has a lot of potential, but could also be a disaster. Hosmer, Machado, Miller, Morse, and Arencibia, have all looked like All Stars at times, but have also all looked like they don’t belong. In the end, if even a handful of these guys panned out, the marlins would be a team to watch.

 

Washington Nationals

Nats depth chart

 

yet another strong team in the NL East. With Hamilton, Myers, Zimmerman, Phillips, Seager, and Weiters at the top of the lineup, it is easy to see this team putting up runs. The question is, what Verlander will they get? Verlander has been among the best in baseball at times, but he has been terrible the last two years. At just 31 it is hard to believe he is already out of his prime, so he can definitely get his career back on track. If he turns up for the Nats, they could give the Braves a run for their money.

Preseason MLB Rankings 30-21

30. Houston Astros – Right now, the Astros main goal should be to just see what some of their young guys can do. Bring OF George Springer and 1B Jonathan Singleton up at some point, let them get their at bats. Another decent goal would be to not finish with the worst MLB record this year, as they did the last two years

29. Chicago Cubs- Like the Astros, the Cubs are in the middle of a rebuilding process. Expect to see 2B prospect Javier Baez, who so far in Spring Training has showed amazing power, get a chance this year. Cubs best hope is for Baez to come up, and for SS Starlin Castro and 1B Anthony Rizzo to live up to their potential.

28. Philadelphia Phillies- Unlike the previous two teams, the Phillies are not in the middle of a rebuild process. Instead of throwing in the towel, GM Ruben Amaro decided to double down this off season and add multiple again Veterans on short deal in an attempt to squeeze every win out of the aging Phillies Core that they. Phillies do have a couple prospects to look forward to this year though in 3B Maikel Franco and SP Jesse Biddle, but their prospects of winning this year do not look very bright.

27. Minnesota Twins- The Twins have Joe Mauer, and that is about it. They have a couple decent players after that, but none worth mentioning. Their rotation is frightening, but not in a good way. Opposing lineups are probably excited at the prospects of going up against the likes of starting pitchers Phil Hughes, Vance Worley, and Mike Pelfrey in consecutive days. The Twins do have one of the best farm systems though, and should be able to bounce back soon should prospects like Miguel Sano turn out.

26. Colorado Rockies – As always, the combo of OF Carlos Gonzalez and SS troy Tulowitzki will keep them from being embarrassing, but their rotation is still going to hold them back. They added SP Jordan Lyles, because we all know how well fly able pitchers do in Coors Field. Brett Anderson could be a decent add, but he will have to stay healthy to be so, and even if there are now doubts if he can reclaim he form from back in Oakland. They may not be the worst team in the MLB, but I just can’t see them competing, or even improving this year.

25. Miami Marlins- The Marlins might have one of the more promising young rotations in baseball. Jose Fernandez showed in his rookie year that he could be a legitimate ace. Behind him, are a hand full of other young pitchers with a lot of upside, including former Tigers prospect Jacob Turner. The issue is still their lineup though. While improved, it still should end up as one of the worst in the league. Giancarlo Stanton is still one of the most powerful hitters in the league, and OF Christian Yellich has a lot of potential, but besides that, there isn’t much. Garret Jones and Casey McGhee are ok, but they aren’t going to make a huge difference. Marlins still have a long way to go.

24. San Diego Padres – The Padres are the first team on this list I can see as a Dark Horse candidate. I don’t think it is likely, but they do have some nice pieces. 2B Jed Gyorko, SS Everth Cabrera, and 1B Yonder Alonso all have the potential to be great MLB players. They still just don’t have that star piece though, and there is serious evidence behind the idea teams with bigger ballparks aren’t as competitive. They could be good and compete for a spot, but I don’t think it is going to happen yet.

23. NY Mets- The Mets may have a very bright future. If the Marlins may have one of the best young rotations, the Mets do have the best. Even with SP Matt Harvey on the shelf for a year after getting Tommy Johns surgery, the Mets still have Zack Wheeler, SP Jon Niese, SP Dillon Gee, and eventually prospect Noah Syndergaard. Add in veteran SP Bartolo Colon, and this rotation is is a scary one. Their lineup still needs a lot of work, but even that should improve this year. They aren’t ready to be competitive yet, but the Mets fans have a lot to look forward to.

22. Chicago White Sox – The White Sox had an impressive off season, acquiring Cuban prospect Jose Abreu, whose power seems to be legit, and former Diamondback Prospects Adam Eaton and Matt Davison. White Sox had already acquired OF Avisail Garcia by trading SP Jake Peavy last year. Whitesox have a legit chance to shoot up the power rankings by the end of the year, they just need to prove they can compete first.

21. Toronto Blue Jays- Blue Jays were considered serious contenders by many at this point last year. The year ended up being a disaster, and they now look like the losers of the pair of blockbuster trades they made last year. The R.A. Dickey trade looks like a complete bust, and the huge trade they made for most of the Marlins team doesn’t look much better. This is still a talented team, but their rotation is suspect. The potential for success is still there, but there isn’t nearly as much hype as there was last year.

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Major League Report Card (Marlins)

English: Florida Marlins mascot at , 2011.

English: Florida Marlins mascot at , 2011. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Moves so far

  • Signed C Jarrod Saltalamacchia to a 3 year $21 Million deal
  • Signed 1b/OF Garret Jones to a  2 year $7.5 million deal
  • Signed SS Rafeal Furcal to 1 year deal (Money Undisclosed)
  • Traded 1b/OF Logan Morrison for RP Carter Capps
  • Signed Casey McGehee to 1 year $1.1 million deal

Rumor Mill

  • No rumors around MArlin camp as of now

Marlins will not be a good team this year, but they will at least be better than last year. Som far they have managed to get through an offseason without making some drastic change, which is progress. A team like the Marlins, who recently gained a surplus of young talent, just need to hold on to that talent and not get desperate. Hold onto OF Giancarlo Stanton, and ROY SP Jose Fernandez. Teams are probably calling them every day hoping Jeffrey Loria has another episode and decides to bloww his team up again.

Marlins may have a future with these young players, and with some decent signings to go along with it they can be competitive at some point. They didn’t do anything major, but made smart signings and trades,a nd didnt ruin their future to do so. With their very limited market they can’t afford to be big spenders, they have to build through the farm system, and theirs is one of the best.

They have to keep course and not panic or be impatient. Thankfully there aren’t many Marlins fans to get frustrated with their losing ways, so it’s a little easier to be patient.

Marlins get an A this offseason, but that grade is curved. These signings would usually warrant a B-, but you have to treat teams like this special. pat them on the back and give them a gold star for things that wouldnt normally warrant it.

If there is any news this will be updated.

Tomorrow, we head to the Al East.